Kings vs. Spurs odds & predictions, Victor Wembanyama props: Bets to consider

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Kings vs. Spurs odds & predictions, Victor Wembanyama props: Bets to consider
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De’Aaron Fox is back in the lineup for the Sacramento Kings, and he has led them to back-to-back dominating wins since his return. Fox and company get their first look at San Antonio Spurs big man Victor Wembanyama in an NBA Play-In Tournament matchup tonight.

After an impressive start that earned the sports world's attention, Wembanyama and the Spurs have slowed down significantly and are currently on a six-game losing streak. Still, Wembanyama's presence sets up plenty of interesting wagers for tonight’s action, including Wembanyama's props.

Let's dive into the Kings vs. Spurs odds, props, and predictions.

Odds for Kings vs. Spurs: Point spread, moneyline, total

San Antonio’s offense has sputtered recently, and the Spurs have to play their best to stay competitive in this one, as Sacramento has scored at least 125 each game since Fox’s return. 

Here are the Kings vs. Spurs betting odds from top betting sites:

 

 

Kings vs. Spurs betting trends

  • The Kings are 6-4-0 against the spread (ATS) this season and 3-2 ATS on the road
  • The Spurs are 4-7- ATS; 2-3 ATS at home
  • The Kings have won five of the last seven matchups between the two
  • The Spurs are 9-2 on the Over/Under; the Kings are 5-5 on the Over/Under
  • The two have hit the over in six of their last 10 matchups

Victor Wembanyama props vs. Kings

Wembanyama has struggled mightily from the field over the last two weeks. He has shot 50% or better in only one of his last six contests, including three games under 30% from the field.

Tonight, he is up against one of the smaller frontcourts in the league, which should help hit multiple betting lines. Here are some of the best props for the big man tonight. 

  • OVER  rebounds: Wembanyama has registered at least nine boards in his last seven games, including 11 and 14 in his last two. The Kings’ frontcourt comprises 6’ 8 Keegan Murray and 6' 10 Domantas Sabonis. This should be easy for him to cover without a legitimate seven-footer on the court. 
  • OVER  points: Wembanyama is still adapting to the physicality of the NBA, particularly on the block. So far, he has been hesitant to attack bigger defenders down low. He is still giving up quite a few pounds to Sabonis, but the height difference is so vast that he is likely to attack the basket much more and crash the boards looking for putback opportunities. The Kings allow 51 points in the paint due to their size issues, so look for Wembanyama’s work around the basket to put him over the top in this one. 
  • UNDER  threes made: As the season has progressed, Wembanyama’s three-point attempts have increased, but it hasn’t led to more makes. He is only shooting 28% from deep. He went 2-9 and 0-3 from beyond the arc in his last two. The Kings don’t have the height to defend him, but they do have the quickness. Murray and Sabonis are good at moving their feet on the perimeter and are more comfortable closing out on long balls. Look for him to spend most of his time attacking the rim to exploit the height advantage, forgoing the high volume of three-point attempts he usually takes and settling against bigger defenders. 

Kings vs. Spurs analysis: Sacramento offense too much for San Antonio's struggling defense

Neither team are defensive heavyweights, but the Kings are at least middle of the pack in defensive rating. The Spurs are second to last in the association, which makes the Kings one of the worst matchups for them. Sacramento owns one of the best offenses in the NBA, and based on the Spurs’ defensive performance so far, they will be hard-pressed to slow them down. 

In their current six-game losing streak, the Spurs’ opponents average 126 points per game. That’s around what the Kings have averaged per game since Fox returned to the lineup. The Kings’ star point guard is averaging 30 points per game and is converting on 63% of his shots at the rim. 

That’s thanks to Sabonis and Murray’s shooting abilities, which consistently pull opposing big men away from the rim and create driving lanes for Fox. The Spurs don’t have an offensive option within the realm of Fox, making it challenging for them to keep pace for the duration of the game against the Kings’ quick-strike offense. 

Also check: NBA betting guide | NBA Rookie of Year odds | NBA betting promos

Kings vs. Spurs predictions and bets to consider

The spread is listed as in favor of the Kings, but that may be too generous for the Spurs. Sacramento has won back-to-back games by double digits and are clicking on all cylinders. That’s the exact opposite of the current state of the Spurs.

The Kings aren’t a good team to work your way out of offensive funk against because the potency of their shooting ability forces teams out of their game plan to keep up. 

Against a young team, that’s usually a recipe for disaster. Look for the Spurs to drop their seventh consecutive game tonight.

Pick: Kings

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Author(s)
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David Fletcher is a freelance writer with Catena Media, who has more than a decade of experience in sports reporting.