Wednesday NBA player props & picks: Giannis to struggle while Curry, Durant eye big nights

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NBA Wednesday player prop odds, picks: Giannis to struggle while Curry, Durant eye big nights
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Almost every team in the NBA is in action Wednesday night, and ESPN has two of the best on the schedule.

The first nationally-televised tip is a potential Eastern Conference Finals preview between the Milwaukee Bucks and Boston Celtics. Next is a Western Conference battle between the Golden State Warriors and Phoenix Suns. 

It’s only November, but these two matchups will be exciting, so check out the best player props we found on the market -- and our picks. 

The Bucks vs. Celtics and Warriors vs. Suns matchups have abundant star power, including multiple 30-plus points per game scorers. The Celtics and Bucks sit atop the East, while the Suns and Warriors are in a log jam at the bottom of a much tougher Western Conference.

Best NBA player prop bets on Wednesday: Bucks vs. Celtics, Warriors vs. Suns on ESPN

Our favorite player props of the day are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo UNDER points
  • Damian Lillard UNDER Three Pointers
  • Steph Curry OVER points
  • Kevin Durant OVER points

Bucks vs. Celtics odds: Spread, moneyline, total

Look at the latest betting odds for Bucks vs. Celtics from top US sports betting sites.:

 

Bucks vs. Celtics player props: Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard UNDERs are best bets

Giannis Antetokounmpo UNDER points

Antetokounmpo is arguably the best in the league at getting downhill and finishing at the rim. The Celtics don’t have a rim protector, but they play team defense well enough to make it hard for players to attack the rim.

Boston is fifth-best in the NBA at limiting points in the paint. Antetokounmpo does the lion’s share of his damage in that same area. Boston is also a top-three unit in defensive rating (107.0).

Additionally, the Bucks’ superstar hasn’t shot above 50% in his last three games against the Celtics. His field goal numbers in those contests are 11-for-27, 12-for-26, and 9-for-22. The Celtics have faced the Sixers twice already this year, and they held the reigning MVP, Joel Embiid, below this total both times.

In one of the games, they held him to just 20 points. Although they have different styles, Embiid is also a dominant big man, averaging more points than Antetokounmpo this season. 

Look for the Celtics’ defense to keep Giannis from covering this line tonight. 

Dame Lillard UNDER Three Pointers

One of the biggest reasons Dame Lillard is usually a good option to cover his three-pointers for a game is volume. He is ninth in the league at three-point attempts per contest with 8.67, and he shoots 37% from deep. He has connected on at least three attempts from deep in half of the 12 games he has played this season.

That includes three consecutive outings. However, Boston owns the sixth-best three-point defense so far this season. None of the teams Lillard has connected on three or more attempts from deep against were in the top-10. 

We must also consider that Lillard will be defended by Jrue Holiday, one of the best defenders at the point guard position in the NBA. The two have faced each other 23 times in their careers, and Lillard has only hit four or more threes in nine of the games – three games out of their last 10.

In Boston, Holiday has the support of one of the best defensive teams in the league, which should make it even more of a challenge. Lillard will certainly connect on a few, but it won’t be enough to cover this line. 

Information: NBA Rookie of the Year odds | NBA MVP odds

Warriors vs. Suns odds: Spread, moneyline, total

Take a look at the latest betting odds for Warriors vs. Suns from top US sports betting apps.:

 

Warriors vs. Suns player props: Steph Curry and Joel Embiid OVERs are best bets

Steph Curry OVER points

Steph Curry is still one of the best scorers in the league at 35 years old, averaging 30 points on 48% from the field. He is up against a Suns defense that has offered little to no resistance this year. The Suns’ defensive efficiency is 114.4, 20th in the NBA. Phoenix is also 24th in the league in points in the paint allowed.

There aren’t many parts of the court where the Suns are stopping scorers from having their way. What makes this a good wager is that Curry has been called on to score more this season than in prior years.

Running mate Klay Thompson is having one of the worst years of his career. He's shooting career lows from the field and from deep, thus averaging the fewest points he has since his rookie year. 

Curry has had to pick up the slack, which means more shots for the sharpshooter. Getting more shots against Phoenix’s defense bodes well for him on this line. 

ReadNBA win total odds

Kevin Durant OVER points

Kevin Durant has been scorching hot from the field over his last four outings. Over the last week, his field goal percentages have been 62%, 52%, 68% and 73%. He scored at least 31 points in each of the games.

He’ll face the Warriors without Draymond Green due to suspension. Without Green in the lineup, the Warriors allowed 130 and 128 points to the Thunder in back-to-back losses. 

They beat the Rockets 121-116 to end their six-game losing streak in their last outing, but even Houston outscored their season average in the contest (110). The Warriors don’t have many defenders to throw at Durant to make life challenging in the game outside of Andrew Wiggins, who won’t be able to stop a flaming hot Durant on his own. 

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Author(s)
David Fletcher Photo

David Fletcher is a freelance writer with Catena Media, who has more than a decade of experience in sports reporting.