NBA Thursday player prop odds, picks: Thompson, Wiggins have increased value for short-handed Warriors vs. Thunder

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Klay Thompson 05042023
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Golden State is entering Thursday night's game against Oklahoma City down two of its most important pieces. 

That should have a major impact on Warriors vs. Thunder player prop odds. 

We're taking a look at player prop bets to consider in that game, as well as in Nets vs. Heat.

Warriors vs. Thunder odds: Spread, moneyline total

Here are the latest NBA betting odds for Warriors vs. Thunder at top-rated sportsbooks

 

Klay Thompson scoring prop odds

The Warriors won’t have Draymond Green for the next five games after the NBA laid down punishment for escalating an altercation in Tuesday’s game against the Timberwolves by grabbing Rudy Gobert around the neck inside the first two minutes of an eventual 104-101 Minnesota win. 

Golden State will also be without star guard Stephen Curry due to a knee sprain for Thursday night’s home game against Oklahoma City, which creates an opportunity to cash in on the player prop market as the Warriors look to survive slipping under .500 without a pair of their key cogs. 

Thompson is likely to be the focal point of Golden State’s attack with Curry out, running off screens as Chris Paul runs the show. Thompson took the Warriors’ first shot of Tuesday’s game, a deep 3-pointer, prior to getting ejected.

He’s averaging only 14.6 points per game thus far, which would be his lowest clip since his rookie season, but the other Splash Brother’s shots per game are also the lowest (12.9) since coming into the NBA.

Thompson shooting a career-low 34.2 percent from 3-point range, so being the focal point of the offense may be exactly what he needs to get revved up since he averaged 21.9 points per game in 2022-23, his first full season since returning from his second torn ACL.

Thompson’s points betting prop for Thursday’s game against OKC has been set at , which is reasonable given the higher volume he’s expected to receive. He’ll have to get shots off against Luguentz Dort and a long, aggressive Thunder defense, but one of Kerr’s priorities during this stretch without Curry will undoubtedly be to get his shooting guard on track.

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Warriors rebounding props to target with Green out

Andrew Wiggins has also been a shell of himself early this season and was forced to be more aggressive against the Timberwolves. He shot poorly in finishing 4-for-15 from the field and missed six of seven 3-point attempts, but his seven rebounds were a season-high. 

Although the former No. 1 overall pick is shooting under 40 percent for the season, Wiggins has had at least five boards in six of seven games and has a number of placed on his rebounding prop against the Thunder. FanDuel is offering +165 that Wiggins records 6-plus rebounds.

There were no numbers set on Kevon Looney or Dario Saric as of Thursday morning, but keep an eye out for those if they’re put out since Golden State has to ensure they work the glass against Oklahoma City, which rebounds well as a collective group.

OKC’s J Dub (Jalen Williams) points, points/rebounds/assists props

The Thunder have second-year forward Jalen Williams in the starting lineup and forward/center Jaylin Williams coming off the bench. The former, who goes by “J Dub” to differentiate the two, is from Arizona, but played his college ball at Santa Clara, which is just outside San Francisco. He went from mid-major recruit to lottery pick in his time there and has excelled after being drafted 12th, landing on the NBA’s All-Rookie Team last season. 

Williams is averaging 17.3 points, 4.0 rebounds and 3.5 assists through his first 11 games, scoring in double-figures each time out. He scored 18 points and had eight assists despite fouling out in OKC’s 141-139 home loss to Golden State on Nov. 3, and scored 19 points in his last trip to the Chase Center last season. 

Although he’s not one to force the issue, it wouldn’t be surprising for the Thunder to get him going early, and he’s busy and productive out on the floor, which means there’s two ways you can approach his props. The market has priced his points number at , and his points + rebounds + assists figure at .

Williams has topped 15 points six times this season and has gone over 22.5 P+R+A the same amount. Take your pick and hope for an inspired effort from the 22-year-old, who is still one of the league’s more unheralded young players.

More NBA wagering: Best NBA betting promo codes and bonuses | Live NBA betting lines

Nets vs. Heat odds: Spread, moneyline, total

Take a look at the latest betting odds for Nets vs. Heat:

 

Nets vs. Heat player prop odds: Butler steals, Sharpe rebounds among bets to consider

While a rematch of one of the most exciting games of the young season is the marquee matchup on Thursday’s two-game slate, the first contest features a pair of Eastern Conference teams with winning records.

Miami hosts Brooklyn and looks to win a seventh consecutive game, while the Nets arrive in South Florida as winners of two straight. The Nets handed the Heat their last loss on Nov. 1, erasing a 15-point second-half deficit in a 109-105 triumph.

Props to be on the lookout for in this matchup include the over on Jimmy Butler steals (). After missing training camp and getting off to a slow start, Butler is doing his thing and being disruptive again, racking up at least two thefts in four of his last five games. He had only one against the Nets at the beginning of the month.

Another player likely to atone for a poor showing in that game is Miami shooter Duncan Robinson, who finished with just five points on 2-for-8 shooting off the bench, missing five of six 3-pointers.

He’s since moved into the starting lineup to replace injured guard Tyler Herro and has averaged 15.7 points during the Heat’s win streak. The prop market has placed Robinson’s number for this game at , and he’s clearly been told to hunt shots and be more aggressive in finding his rhythm.

On the Brooklyn side, one sneaky look to like is Day’Ron Sharpe’s rebounding prop (). Although they were going smaller earlier in the season with starter Nicolas Claxton out, Nets head coach Jacque Vaughn has opted for a more conventional look of late.

Sharpe is a rebounds-per-minute monster, grabbed seven against Miami on Nov. 1, and has at least seven boards in seven of Brooklyn’s last nine games. Sportsbooks are rewarding a double-double handsomely, offering a return of .

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Author(s)
Tony Mejia Photo

Tony Mejia is in his fourth decade writing about sports and sports gambling. He served as CBS Sportsline's National NBA writer and also penned a bracketology column for that site. Mejia has worked as a handicapper, analyst and video content creator for a variety of betting sites for the last decade-plus, while also writing for staples Gaming Today and the GoldSheet.