Best NFL Thanksgiving prop bets: Dak Prescott, David Montgomery among top over/under picks for Thursday

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Dak Prescott, David Montgomery
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Week 12 kicks off with a Thanksgiving tripleheader, featuring two Thanksgiving staple franchises, the Lions and Cowboys, facing their divisional rivals, the Packers and Commanders. The evening culminates with an NFC West clash between the 49ers and Seahawks, two teams that crossed paths in the wild-card round last season and are once again vying for a spot in the postseason.

Searching for alternative ways to get action down on Thursday's Thanksgiving tripleheader outside of the traditional side and total markets? You've come to the right place! We've done our part in highlighting plenty of valuable player props on Canada's most trusted sportsbook, Sports Interaction, hopefully yielding some profit at the end of the night! 

Without further ado, let's break down these props for Thursday's Thanksgiving tripleheader.

MORE: Bet the Thanksgiving games on Sports Interaction now!

Best Thanksgiving prop bets for Week 12

Odds courtesy for Sports Interaction

Dak Prescott, QB, Cowboys— OVER 277.5 passing yards (-120)

Prescott is set up for a massive day at the office against a reeling Commanders' defense. Washington has been one of the least efficient defenses against the pass relative to their expected points added numbers, ranking 30th in dropback EPA (0.154 EPA).

Seven of the 11 QBs who've gone up against Washington have totaled at least 278 passing yards, with five QBs passing for 300-plus yards. Dak averaged just 5.0 yards per completion in Week 11, ending his day with 189 passing yards (25-of-38 passing). However, his ability to hit on explosive passes against a weak Washington coverage unit should lend itself to a strong passing day. Dak has gone OVER 277.5 yards in three of his past four outings, as he's really finding his groove for Mike McCarthy and company.

MORE THANKSGIVING NFL: ATS picks | Fantasy start-sit

David Montgomery, RB, Lions  — OVER 14.5 rushing attempts (-115)

While Montgomery has gone UNDER this number in his past two games, we like Detroit's early-down back to see a steady rushing workload on Turkey Day. Montgomery played just 25 snaps in Detroit's come-from-behind victory over Chicago in Week 11 but still managed to log 12 carries in a negative game script.

With Detroit pegged as 7.5-point favorites, chances are the Lions will play with a lead, boosting Montgomery's chances of going OVER 14.5 rushing attempts. Although he wasn't the most efficient in the Lions' first matchup against the Packers in Week 4, Monty logged 32 carries with Detroit leading by multiple scores for most of the game. Yes, Jahmyr Gibbs' usage has spiked in the past couple of weeks after Montgomery missed time with a rib injury, but OC Ben Johnson is still going to rely on his physical lead back.

THANKSGIVING DFS:
DK full slate | FD full slate | GB-DET | WAS-DAL | SF-SEA

Jared Goff, QB, Lions — UNDER 33.5 passing attempts (-120)

Since we expect the Lions to have a comfortable lead on Thursday, we think that will result in Goff totaling fewer than 34 passing attempts. Goff threw just 28 times against Green Bay back in Week 4, and with the Packers' rush defense being their glaring weakness, we expect the Lions to have a productive day on the ground.

In the Lions' five multi-possession wins this season, Goff has gone UNDER 33.5 passing attempts three times, and this could easily be his fourth time in six such games.

Sam LaPorta, TE, Lions — UNDER 46 receiving yards (-110)

LaPorta is coming off his least productive game as a pro, totaling just 18 yards on three catches. Despite playing 53 snaps and running 34 routes, he saw just five targets, getting out-targeted by Amon-Ra St. Brown (10) and Jahmyr Gibbs (6).

In correlation to our other Lions' props, as a heavy rushing attack hinders LaPorta's chances of reaching 47 receiving yards. Despite allowing two Chargers' TEs (Stone Smartt, Donald Parham Jr.) to both notch 50-plus receiving yards last week, the Packers have defended the tight end position well while ranking within the top half of the league in dropback EPA.

Tony Pollard, RB, Cowboys — To score a TD and the Cowboys win (-125)

Somehow, Pollard has scored just three TDs in a year in which he's become the Cowboys' lead back, with two of them coming in their Week 1 drubbing over the Giants. Pollard finally snapped his TD drought last week, ending his eight-game scoreless skid. We're backing Dallas' RB1 to reach paydirt for a second straight game, as the NFC's top scoring offense (30.2 ppg) has a real chance to score 35-plus on the Commanders.

Even though fellow RB Rico Dowdle is always a threat to vulture Pollard's goal-line touches, Dallas could live in the red zone on Thursday, putting Pollard in prime position to get in the paint. Additionally, Pollard's anytime TD prop comes with -150 odds, but SIA is offering a specialty prop that combines a Pollard ATTD with Dallas' moneyline, lowering the odds to -125.

DK Metcalf, WR, Seahawks — OVER 59.5 receiving yards (-115)

Metcalf's receiving yardage numbers are starting to mirror his usage, with Seattle's most lethal WR totaling 94 and 98 receiving yards, respectively, in his past two contests. Metcalf may only need three to four receptions to hit this number, as he's averaging 16.0 yards per catch. He'll likely draw a high aDOT with Seattle attempting to hit on explosive plays against the 49ers defense.

Metcalf torched the 49ers secondary in last year's wild-card game, hauling in 10-of-13 targets for 136 yards and two TDs. All we need this time, though, is 60 yards, and with Metcalf averaging 7.9 targets per game, he should have every opportunity to hit the OVER for us whether it's Geno Smith (elbow) or Drew Lock under center.

Jahan Dotson, WR, Commanders — OVER 3.5 receptions (+115)

With Washington slated to throw at a high clip, sitting as double-digit underdogs, Dotson's OVER 3.5 receptions prop priced at +115 catches our eyes. The second-year wideout has had an up-and-down sophomore campaign, but he's still a significant part of the Commanders' passing attack. Dotson has run a route on 99.7 percent of their passing plays this season but is only seeing a 15.2-percent target share.

That said, Dotson's role is steadily increasing down the stretch, as he's gone OVER 3.5 receptions in three of his past five contests. A six-to-seven target game isn't out of the equation for the former first-round pick; therefore, we see value in his OVER 3.5 receptions at +115.

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Nick Musial is a Content Producer at The Sporting News